What is it

Our trading signals - tradable on the daily timeframe - as well as our fully detailed weekly report offer not only a sense of the current general regime the market is and going into (trending, pullback/consolidation) and which complements well with a trader/investor’s underlying set of investment strategies, but it also includes a system that provides actionable trading signals that can be used to trade the US market on both the long and short sides.

How it Works

We follow a systemic approach that allows for low risk, high probability setups in US indices. A secularity signal supports a longer term view driven by economic fundamentals and shows as to whether the market is in a bullish or bearish cycle, while the tacticality signal provides a much shorter view as to whether the market is currently trending, about to go sideways, or literally pulling back. This particular signal complements well with a trader/investor's library of strategies in that it provides support to the underlying risk and volatility regime the market is gearing into next.

The TRADING STRATEGY component provides tradable signals to go long and short (L/S) in the US market. The S&P500 is the leading index used to provide long entry/exit signals while the DJIA is the underlying one used to provide the same but on the short side hence allowing for simultenous long and short exposures and provides netting facilitation to the trader/investor. Markets are all but semi-predictable at best, our service aims at providing general guidance. Profits & losses belong to you and therefore the responsbility as such.

* 53,000+ pips long & short sides on the US indices since inception
* 86% win rate, 400+ trades (as of , running since 2002)
* See our up-to-date track record, updated in real time in a CSV format


Proprietary Model, Yet Industry Standard

Our proprietary secularity model indicates where the US market is in the bull/bear cyclicality curve with an aim in the best case scenario to be ahead of the next turn and have enough contingency in order for the investor to adjust his/her trading strategies.

This model is used by managers as one of their core instruments or serves as complementarity to other measures. No one can predict the future and we are certainly not claiming it, yet we want the statistics to work for us and as a result the direction of the market to be on our side and that is what this model is built on.

Our Reports

Our fully detailed weekly report is sent to our subscribers every Friday after US market close. Delivered in an XLS format in a clear and easy to read format, the report includes a sense as to where the current secularity is at (bullish, bearish, pullback), and another one as to where we are at from a tactical perspective which is a mid term signal that indicates as to whether a bullish trend is for example going into pullback mode (among other examples).

The second section inculdes actionable trading signals to go both long and short hence providing for good hedging if required by the trader/investor.

Many of our clients use our weekly report as an underlying guideline to their own portfolio as opposed to trading directly with us, hence using it as a second opinion as such and a valid confirmation of one's bias offered in a total impartial manner.

U.S. Recession & Forecasting

The weekly cyclicality & market turn report complements well with our US Recession Watch report delivered on a WEEKLY basis. For more information please visit the following service as well: Recession\Watch Service

A number of well-known models have predicted many more pullbacks and crashes than the actual number itself. The yield curve inversion model for example has predicted many more recessions, now that is quite a promise. What if this one model were to be combined however with a number of other meaningful models that combine fundamental and technical analysis ? Wouldn't that be more efficient, and reasonable to arrive to a more sensible estimate ? What if we even pushed it one step further and had a mid-term indicator combined with the secularity indicator so that you can prepare ahead of time, decrease your long exposure before your drawdown becomes unmanageable ? The Recession/Watch report combines both a secularity indicator (bull/bear) alogn with a tacticality indicator that estimates in the best case scenario possible what the mid-term direction of the market is (pullback, bullish, bearish). Now that is useful, isn't?